Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.695692e-04 0.000193 0.000217 0.000243 0.000271 0.000301 0.000334
2024-12-22 1.279216e-04 0.000163 0.000201 0.000246 0.000297 0.000352 0.000416
2024-12-29 1.055340e-04 0.000147 0.000195 0.000253 0.000321 0.000397 0.000487
2025-01-05 8.788528e-05 0.000133 0.000187 0.000256 0.000338 0.000432 0.000546
2025-01-12 7.011167e-05 0.000116 0.000174 0.000249 0.000342 0.000451 0.000584
2025-01-19 5.403201e-05 0.000099 0.000158 0.000238 0.000339 0.000459 0.000610
2025-01-26 4.399200e-05 0.000088 0.000149 0.000234 0.000345 0.000478 0.000648
2025-02-02 3.633138e-05 0.000080 0.000143 0.000233 0.000352 0.000499 0.000687
2025-02-09 2.910885e-05 0.000071 0.000135 0.000229 0.000356 0.000513 0.000718
2025-02-16 2.524178e-05 0.000067 0.000133 0.000233 0.000370 0.000541 0.000766
2025-02-23 2.109742e-05 0.000062 0.000130 0.000234 0.000379 0.000563 0.000806
2025-03-02 1.709797e-05 0.000056 0.000124 0.000232 0.000384 0.000580 0.000839
2025-03-09 1.609491e-05 0.000057 0.000129 0.000245 0.000410 0.000624 0.000909
2025-03-16 1.347053e-05 0.000053 0.000127 0.000248 0.000424 0.000652 0.000960
2025-03-23 1.172183e-05 0.000051 0.000128 0.000255 0.000442 0.000686 0.001017
2025-03-30 9.678370e-06 0.000048 0.000126 0.000258 0.000454 0.000713 0.001066
2025-04-06 6.899335e-06 0.000042 0.000118 0.000251 0.000452 0.000722 0.001091
2025-04-13 4.305396e-06 0.000035 0.000108 0.000240 0.000443 0.000720 0.001102
2025-04-20 2.948879e-06 0.000031 0.000103 0.000237 0.000446 0.000734 0.001133
2025-04-27 2.014121e-06 0.000028 0.000099 0.000235 0.000452 0.000751 0.001169
2025-05-04 1.187718e-06 0.000025 0.000094 0.000231 0.000452 0.000761 0.001196
2025-05-11 8.646540e-07 0.000024 0.000094 0.000235 0.000466 0.000789 0.001246
2025-05-18 5.234510e-07 0.000022 0.000091 0.000236 0.000474 0.000810 0.001286